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C12
Summary One winter can make a difference in climate research. The winter 1939/40 is the proof of it. Four months war, and the war parties demonstrated that man is able to change the weather. Europe returned to Little Ice Age condition immediately after the belligerent and neutral powers send their entire naval forces out on mission in the seas of Northern Europe and in the Atlantic. It was a like a large scale experiment about the question, on how much alteration in the marine environment is necessary to have a significant, and observable impact on the weather. The result was impressive. The weather showed up with deviation and changes. The weather experts did not recognise anything. The numerous alteration of weather conditions during the first six months of the Second World War came unexpected. The meteorological services failed thoroughly. Completely unaware that the weather operates on the prevailing conditions of the ocean and seas, they did not foresaw the inevitable danger of anthropogenic weather modification by naval war activities. They did not imaging that large scale fighting at sea by huge naval armadas during an autumn season is a perfect tool. Numerous examples could be presented and discussed, in order to prove this. It starts with the suddenness, unexpectedness and the severity of the winter 1939/40, about which the two expert time witnesses, Drummond and Rodewald, talked about. This personal impression is confirmed by many astonishing facts. There was the heavy rain along the line from Basel to London, with about two millions soldiers on each side ready to fight. The wind shifted from commonly prevailing south-westerly to north-easterly wind. The move of cyclones and humid air from the Atlantic eastwards via Western Europe was blocked. Instead in early December 1939 cold air arrived from the East with continental high air pressure systems not to lose the grip until March 1940. General Frost’s reign dragged Central Europe into the coldest winter for more than 100 years. A number of cold record could be registered. The entire sea ice cover and intensity in the Baltic Sea was the first after a pause of six decades, but was also the first in a row of few more exceptional sea ice winters, which catapult the 1940s decade in the top position for many hundreds of years. There a stunning surprises on a number of issues. But nothing is on record what science has to say about all of this. Most of the observed deviations could have been predicted if the weather experts at that time had understood that weather is the appendix of the ocean, or at least analysed the impact of the naval war during WWI on the war weather pattern in depth. With such knowledge they could and should have warned the world leaders that a war would indefinitely include a serious experiment with the climate. But they did not. The weather experts were neither aware of anything in this respect, nor did they at least woke up when a lot of meteorological events happened within a short period of time into the war. What a difference we have now, 70 years later. Climatology calls the world at doom due to the threat of anthropogenic global warming (AGW) over the last two decades. At least 5°Celsius temperature, and several meters sea level rise, caused by the industrial release of carbon dioxide, is inevitable, they tell the governments and the general public. For sure, if such a scenario of threat and doom had existed before the Second World War started, the world in 1939 would have listen, and undertaken all measures possible to prevent Adolf Hitler and the Third Reich to use the sea for naval warfare. Furthermore a discussion about a ‘greenhouse effect’ climatology initiated and busted to a monster since the ‘global cooling’ ended in the early 1980s, would never have taken place. But unfortunately the weather experts understood too little of what is all about. They were not competent enough to analyse and learn from what they saw with their own eyes. On the meteorological front two further extreme winters followed. Thus they failed to do better during the further five years the world was in war. The world had to go through the worst, and that did not ended with the end of WWII. A global cooling continued for another three decades. |
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