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Winter 2015/16 –versus- Winter 1939/40

Hurricane PATRICIA Special
     'Strongest ever' storm – End of October 2015 

Intro-
duction

1.Post
21 Oct

2.Post
22.Oct

PATRICIA
Hurricane-Special

3. Post
19.Nov

4. Post
01.Dec

5. Post 

 Merry
Christmas

7. Post 30/12

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8.Post-Spec
Mild Winter

9. Post
05.Jan

10.Post
09 Jan

11. Post
25.Jan.2016


12. Post
28 Jan

13.Post
  03 Feb.


14 Post
11 Feb

15.Post
12 March 

dr_armd(x)yahoo.de
About the Author

Naval War versus El Niño - That is the question!

EL Niño event and exceptional cyclones in the Eastern Pacific:
California September 1939 (+ heat and rain ) ./. October 2015 -

 

 

 

 

 

Exceptional tropical cyclone hit  in September 1939

 


http://www.seaclimate.com/c/c4/c4.html (Ch. C4 d)
A special September 1939 in California

   In September 1939 the sun state had to cope with a number of weather caprioles. The unanswered question until today is what role an El Niño event had in that place at that time, and the contribution of war activities in China and Europe, due to the excessive release of condensation nuclei.
…..
on the 25th with winds of severe gale force. The up to 11 Beaufort strong winds were the only tropical storm to make landfall in California in the twentieth century…….


http://www.wrcc.dri.edu/enso/tropstorm.nws

...SEPTEMBER 1939... FOUR STORMS IMPACTED SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THAT MONTH…DURING THE EL NINO OF 1938-39)

NEAR THE END OF THE MONTH...A TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVING TO THE
NORTHEAST MOVED ONSHORE AT LONG BEACH AT TROPICAL STORM STORM
STRENGTH WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 MPH. THIS IS THE ONLY KNOWN
EASTERN PACIFIC TROPICAL CYCLONE TO MOVE ONSHORE INTO SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA AT TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH.


 



Strongest hurricane ever recorded,
Patricia is expected Friday
23. October 2015


Now the strongest hurricane ever recorded, Hurricane Patricia is expected to deal a severe blow to parts of the western Mexico coast.
The hurricane, which exploded to Cat. 5 strength with winds of at least 200 mph, is forecast to make landfall along Mexico's Pacific coast Friday, bringing damaging winds, heavy rainfall and storm surge flooding.

__Hurricane Patricia: Mexico awaits 'strongest ever' storm (BBC: 23/10 ,16h UTC) http://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-34614864


BULLETIN

HURRICANE PATRICIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  17A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202015
100 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2015

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPEP5+shtml/240557.shtml

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Patricia was located near latitude 21.4 North, longitude 104.0 West. Patricia is moving toward the north-northeast near 20 mph (31 km/h). Patricia is
forecast to move quickly north-northeastward farther inland over northern and northeastern Mexico during the next day or so.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts.  Patricia is a category 2 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.  Rapid weakening is expected to
continue, and Patricia is forecast to become a tropical storm later this morning, and a tropical depression this afternoon.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 970 mb (28.64 inches).


 

 

 

 CNN; 0457 GMT, October 24, 2015: Hurricane Patricia weakened to a Category 4 storm Friday night with maximum sustained winds of 130 mph, but remained "extremely dangerous" over southwestern Mexico, the National Hurricane Center said. Patricia made landfall hours earlier as a Category 5 storm, the fiercest.

WEATHER.CON; Oct 24 2015 02:02 AM EDT:  Hurricane Patricia became the strongest hurricane ever known to make landfall on the Pacific coast of Mexico after the center of its eye crossed the coast of Jalisco state early Friday evening.

THE TELEGRAPH, 6:16AM BST 24 Oct 2015: Patricia, the strongest hurricane ever recorded in the Americas, hits Mexico's Pacific coast - follow latest updates as storm makes landfall on Friday night.

WEATHER.COM, Oct 24 2015 06:17 AM EDT: Hurricane Patricia became the strongest hurricane ever known to make landfall on the Pacific coast of Mexico after the center of its eye crossed the coast of Jalisco state early Friday evening. Its winds are rapidly losing strength as its center of circulation slices into the interior of southwest Mexico overnight.
Earlier Friday, Patricia became the most powerful tropical cyclone ever measured in the Western Hemisphere as its maximum sustained winds reached an unprecedented 200 mph (320 kph) and its central pressure fell to 879 millibars (25.96 inches of mercury).

(CNN )Hurricane Patricia has set a new record for lowest pressure and
highest sustained wind speed reported in a hurricane.
http://edition.cnn.com/2015/10/23/weather/hurricane-patricia-comparison/
Severest storms (Category 5) in the Western Hemisphere (without tropical cyclones and typhoons)

PATRICIA

WILMA

KATRINA

ANDREW

October 2015

October 2005

August 2005

August 1992

winds 200 mph

winds 185 mph

winds 170 mph

winds 175 mph

879 mb

882 mb

902 mb

922 mb


Author: Dr. And Bernaerts, October 2015

All Posts since October 2015 on:

El Niño
Winter 2015/16 –versus- Winter 1939/40

Introduction (20. Oct): Has El Niño a role on sub-cold winters in Europe?  A continuous comparison

Post 1 (21.Oct): Stefan Brönnimann claims: Extreme winter 1940-1942 due to El Niño! -19-

Post 2 (22.Oct): USA deprived of rain - October to December 1939 -18-

Post Special (24.Oct): Hurricane PATRICIA; 'Strongest ever' storm – End of October 2015 -18a-

Post 3 (19.Nov):  El Niño Autumn 1939 vs. 2015 -17-

Post 4 (01.Dec): Jet Stream blocked in late 1939  – By naval war not El Niño –-16-

Post 5 (16.Dec): Siberian freeze arrive in Europe -  December 1939 -15-

Post 6 (22.Dec): Merry Christmas and Peace upon Meteorology,……… -14-

Post 7 (30.Dec): Huge Difference – December 1939 & December 2015 – -13-

Post 8 (Special): Northern Europe’s Mild Winters. [Essay, about pages 12) -12-

Post 9 (04.Jan): On….the Met- Office asked: What’s been happening to our weather? -11-

Post 10 (09.Jan): Polish and German climate science on winter 1939/40.a shame!  -10-

Further reading:

“Failures of Meteorology! Unable to Prevent Climate Change and World Wars? Oceans Make Climate!” 
http://www.seaclimate.com/

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  Older Posts

14 December 2014:  How serious is Met-Office to understand  a “weather bomb” 

14. June 2013: Met Office brainstorms UK bad weather, titles THE GUARDIAN – 13. June 2013 (ocl-7-9)

23. April 2013: Met-Off loose talk on cold March 2013? North and Baltic Sea should not be ignored! (ocl_9-8)
11. April 2013: 'Urgent' need to see if Arctic affects UK extreme cold? No! MetOffice should investigate the impact of human activities in the North- and Baltic Sea ! (co_9-4) 
03 April 2013: Did the cold March 2013 came from Siberia ? A not well founded claim! (ocl_9-9) 
29 March 2013: Cold March 2013 in company with March 1942 & 1917 (co 10-2)  
27. March 2013: Strong Start – Strong Ending; Winter 2012/13. About the Role of North- and Baltic Sea (2007seatraining 1310)
26. March 2013; March 2013 snow in the UK and the North Sea . Did human activities contributed? (ocl 10_2) 
21 March 2013; Cold March 2013 in UK and North Europe science should be able to explain! (ocl_10-3) 
07 March 2013:  Winter 2012/13 for Northern Europe is over! The Baltic and North Sea will prevent a surprise in March! (ocl-10_4)
19. January 2013: Northern Europe's bulwark against Asian cold from 19-31. (oc_12-8)
14. January 2013: North- and Baltic Sea influence Europe ’s winter 2012/2013 until now. (ocl_12_6) 
09 December 2012 (+ 21 & 26 Dec) : Are we heading to severe Baltic Sea ice conditions by 30th December 2012? (2007seatraining)

 

 Essays on arctic warming causes cold winters 

2013__Environmental Research Letters Volume 8 Number 1 Qiuhong Tang et al 2013 Environ. Res. Lett. 8 014036 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/014036 
Cold winter extremes in northern continents linked to Arctic sea ice loss  http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8/1/014036 
___”The results suggest that the winter atmospheric circulation at high northern latitudes associated with Arctic sea ice loss, especially in the winter, favours the occurrence of cold winter extremes at middle latitudes of the northern continents.”

 

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Euro-Countries
Temp.-Trend

Nasa-Global
Temp.-1939-1942

September 1939 
30 daily weather maps 

Sea Ice Condition 
Baltic Sea WWII

 

 


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C2.  Records, Records, Records – Introduction
to the unexpected

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