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El Niño
Winter 2015/16 –versus- Winter 1939/40
11th Post - 25 January 2016

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1.Post
21 Oct

2. Post
22 Oct

 PATRICIA
Hurrican- Special

3. Post
19 Nov

4. Post
01 Dec

 5. Post
 16 Dec

Christmas
HERE

7. Post 30/12

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8.Post-Special 
 04 Jan
Mild winters

9. Post
05.Jan

10. Post
09 Jan.

11. Post
25.Jan.2016

12. Post
28 Jan

13.Post
  03 Feb.

14 Post
11 Feb

15.Post
12 March 

 dr_arnd(x)yahoo.de
About the Author

Ice Drama January 1940 - Now Heat Record  
But Meteorology  is not interested!

Great ice storm paralyzed everything it touched – 27-30 January 1940
The Times, 2007

Ice storms are rare in the UK, but the worst incident was in January 1940, during the Second World War. It was the coldest winter for a century when, on January 27, a savage ice storm swept much of southern Britain. The landscape seemed to be encased in glass, trees looked like frozen waterfalls, and the ice weighed them down until they broke and smashed to the ground.
(pay-wall:The Times, 2007)

January 1940 was a severe wintry month with frequent frosts and heavy snowfalls. The CET for the month was -1.4C, the first sub zero CET month of the 20th Century and the coldest month since February 1895.

On the night of the 23rd, a minimum of -23.3C was recorded at Rhaydaer(Powys) a record low for that date. Other lows include -20C at Canterbury, Welshpool, Hereford and Newport in Shropshire.

The Thames was frozen for 8 miles between Teddington and Sunbury and ice covered stretches of the Mersey, Humber and Severn.
The sea froze at Bognor Regis and Folkestone and Southampton harbours were iced over. The Grand Union Canal was completely frozen over between Birmingham and London. Central London was below freezing for a week and there was skating on the Serpentine on 6" ice.
However January 1940 will always be remembered for the Snowstorm and Icestorm that struck the UK.
(Credit: http://www.theweatheroutlook.com)

Met Office - Europe   -
21-25 January 2016

 (www.metoffice.gov.uk/2016/01/21/world-weather-roundup/)

 A large blocking area of high pressure over central and southeastern parts of Europe, which until recently also brought cold weather to the UK, will persist across these areas into the weekend.

Across Scandinavia, the Baltic States, Poland and Western Russia very cold conditions will be maintained with temperatures around 5-10C below average, but with dry weather expected.

Much of southeast Europe will also continue to feel the effects of this cold air with temperatures across inland areas well below average by day and some areas struggling to rise above freezing. Overnight minimums widely in negative double figures will compound the cold. Snowfall is also likely to lead to some disruption over Romania and then parts of Turkey, Serbia and Croatia over the coming days as weather fronts affect these areas. Next week should see a return to conditions more typical for the time of year as milder air arrives from the south and west.

Further north, the cold, still conditions are the perfect recipe for fog and freezing fog with parts of France, Belgium, the Netherlands and Germany being affected by this during Thursday and Friday before milder air arrives over the weekend.

SNOWSTORM

On the 26th, two occlusions were moving up from the SW engaged the cold air over the UK. At the same time, the anticyclone over Scandinavia was intensifying blocking the fronts from pushing through the UK, they became stationary over Wales and SW England. This resulted in a great snowstorm across many northern and eastern areas.
Vast areas of northern England reported between 30-60cm of level snow, the higher parts in excess of 60cm+. The snow drifted in the strong SEly wind even in the centre of London. Other reports of snow depths include Eastbourne:- 25cm, Pontefract:- 37cm, Malvern:- 60cm and Exmoor:- drifts of 2.5m. The snowfall lasted to the 29th of January
.
(Credit: http://www.theweatheroutlook.com)

 

ICESTORM

On the low ground in the south, the preciptation fell as freezing rain. The
raindrops were of the supercooled nature, so when the rain hit the surface it would freeze instantly. This is a rare event in the UK and the 1940 is reckoned to be the severest that has struck the UK in recorded history.
The duration of the storm was remarkable lasting up to 48 hours in places. For instance at Cirencester, 48hrs of freezing rain fell in temperatures of between -2 and -4C. The effect of this prolonged icestorm was severe and damaging. Many telegraph poles and wires were snapped unable to cope with the weight of the ice. Flora and fauna suffered as well, many tree branches were snapped off by the enormous weight of ice, birds were unable to fly because ice accumulated on their wings. Travel was next to impossible as roads and pavements became skating rinks. Any sloped surface was impossible to climb.

(Credit: http://www.theweatheroutlook.com)

 


More details:

The ice storm of January 27–29, 1940  C. J. P. Cave M.A., J.P.  Article first published online: 11 SEP 2007, DOI: 10.1002/qj.49706628502  , http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.49706628502/abstract

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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ADD. I: There is no link between
El Niño and January 1940
"Right Prof. Stefan Brönnimann”?

That is one of the questions to start the series in last October  HERE.

El Niño still runs strong in the Pacific showing worldwide some typical weather pattern. As far as Europe is mentioned the  forecast expects temperature above average in the first half period of winter, and lower towards winter’s end.

 

What a big difference between January 1039 and January 2016, not only a little but tremendously. There might be some small similarities, for example in the United States  (see HERE) and the US-January-1940-Temp-Map, or three cold days in Siedlce last week from 03-05 January.  The Polish cold record was more than 20°C lower, and the cold remained, and got even worst.

 

 

 

Today the situation look very different. Forecasts expect temperature well above average. Until now this winter proves that any claim the war winter 1939/40 has anything to do is completely unfounded. Further Reading

QUESTION: ”Prof. Stefan Brönnimann is it not high time to get things right and to apologize for the grand mistake made a decade ago with your Letter to Nature (NATURE |VOL 431|21 OCTOBER 2004)”

 

The current status of El Niño (Nov-Dec-2015)

 

Box
empty

 

 

 





  BACK to TOP

 

All Posts since October 2015 on:

El Niño
Winter 2015/16 –versus- Winter 1939/40

Introduction (20. Oct): Has El Niño a role on sub-cold winters in Europe?  A continuous comparison

Post 1 (21.Oct): Stefan Brönnimann claims: Extreme winter 1940-1942 due to El Niño! -19-

Post 2 (22.Oct): USA deprived of rain - October to December 1939 -18-

Post Special (24.Oct): Hurricane PATRICIA; 'Strongest ever' storm – End of October 2015 -18a-

Post 3 (19.Nov):  El Niño Autumn 1939 vs. 2015 -17-

Post 4 (01.Dec): Jet Stream blocked in late 1939  – By naval war not El Niño –-16-

Post 5 (16.Dec): Siberian freeze arrive in Europe -  December 1939 -15-

Post 6 (22.Dec): Merry Christmas and Peace upon Meteorology,……… -14-

Post 7 (30.Dec): Huge Difference – December 1939 & December 2015 – -13-

Post 8 (Special): Northern Europe’s Mild Winters. [Essay, about pages 12) -12-

Post 9 (04.Jan): On….the Met- Office asked: What’s been happening to our weather? -11-

Post 10 (09.Jan): Polish and German climate science on winter 1939/40.a shame!  -10-


 

 

 













Kindly look in again, and if you have suggestions email to: dr_arnd@yahoo.de.   




Back to 1st Post

Author: Dr. And Bernaerts, 2016

 

About winter 1939/40 further reading:

“Failures of Meteorology! Unable to Prevent Climate Change and World Wars? Oceans Make Climate!” 
http://www.seaclimate.com/

     Back to top→→→

  To Front Page

  Older Posts

14 December 2014:  How serious is Met-Office to understand  a “weather bomb” 

14. June 2013: Met Office brainstorms UK bad weather, titles THE GUARDIAN – 13. June 2013 (ocl-7-9)

23. April 2013: Met-Off loose talk on cold March 2013? North and Baltic Sea should not be ignored! (ocl_9-8)
11. April 2013: 'Urgent' need to see if Arctic affects UK extreme cold? No! MetOffice should investigate the impact of human activities in the North- and Baltic Sea ! (co_9-4) 
03 April 2013: Did the cold March 2013 came from Siberia ? A not well founded claim! (ocl_9-9) 
29 March 2013: Cold March 2013 in company with March 1942 & 1917 (co 10-2)  
27. March 2013: Strong Start – Strong Ending; Winter 2012/13. About the Role of North- and Baltic Sea (2007seatraining 1310)
26. March 2013; March 2013 snow in the UK and the North Sea . Did human activities contributed? (ocl 10_2) 
21 March 2013; Cold March 2013 in UK and North Europe science should be able to explain! (ocl_10-3) 
07 March 2013:  Winter 2012/13 for Northern Europe is over! The Baltic and North Sea will prevent a surprise in March! (ocl-10_4)
19. January 2013: Northern Europe's bulwark against Asian cold from 19-31. (oc_12-8)
14. January 2013: North- and Baltic Sea influence Europe ’s winter 2012/2013 until now. (ocl_12_6) 
09 December 2012 (+ 21 & 26 Dec) : Are we heading to severe Baltic Sea ice conditions by 30th December 2012? (2007seatraining)

 

 Essays on arctic warming causes cold winters 

2013__Environmental Research Letters Volume 8 Number 1 Qiuhong Tang et al 2013 Environ. Res. Lett. 8 014036 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/014036 
Cold winter extremes in northern continents linked to Arctic sea ice loss  http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8/1/014036 
___”The results suggest that the winter atmospheric circulation at high northern latitudes associated with Arctic sea ice loss, especially in the winter, favours the occurrence of cold winter extremes at middle latitudes of the northern continents.”

 

 Back to Front Page

                                

Material 
  INFO

Euro-Countries
Temp.-Trend

Nasa-Global
Temp.-1939-1942

September 1939 
30 daily weather maps 

Sea Ice Condition 
Baltic Sea WWII

 

All Posts since
October 2015 on:

El Niño
Winter 2015/16 –
versus-
Winter 1939/40

Introduction (20. Oct): Has El Niño a role on sub-cold winters in Europe?  A continuous comparison

Post 1 (21.Oct): Stefan Brönnimann claims: Extreme winter 1940-1942 due to El Niño! -19-

Post 2 (22.Oct): USA deprived of rain - October to December 1939 -18-

Post Special (24.Oct): Hurricane PATRICIA; 'Strongest ever' storm – End of October 2015 -18a-

Post 3 (19.Nov):  El Niño Autumn 1939 vs. 2015 -17-

Post 4 (01.Dec): Jet Stream blocked in late 1939  – By naval war not El Niño –-16-

Post 5 (16.Dec): Siberian freeze arrive in Europe -  December 1939 -15-

Post 6 (22.Dec): Merry Christmas and Peace upon Meteorology,……… -14-

Post 7 (30.Dec): Huge Difference – December 1939 & December 2015 – -13-

Post 8 (Special): Northern Europe’s Mild Winters. [Essay, about pages 12) -12-

Post 9 (04.Jan): On….the Met- Office asked: What’s been happening to our weather? -11-

Post 10 (09.Jan): Polish and German climate science on winter 1939/40.a shame!  -10-

Post 11 (25. Jan): Ice Drama January 1940 - Now Heat Record  
But Meteorology  is not interested!  -9-:



 


Book extract:

C2.  Records, Records, Records – Introduction
to the unexpected

 

 Selection of previous posts:

14 December 2014: How serious is MetOffice to understand a “weather bomb"

07. July 2013: Competent science should know it since long: “Imprint of Southern Ocean eddies on winds, clouds and rainfall” (ocl_6-9)

14. June 2013: Met Office brainstorms UK bad weather, titles THE GUARDIAN – 13. June 2013 (ocl-7-9)

23. April 2013: Met-Off loose talk on cold March 2013?

11. April 2013: 'Urgent' need to see if Arctic affects UK extreme cold? No! MetOffice should investigate the impact of human activities in the North- and Baltic Sea ! (co_9-4)
 
04 April 2013: Did the cold March 2013 come from Siberia ?  A not well founded claim!

 29 March 2012: Cold March 2013 in company with March 1942 & 1917 (co 10-2)

26. March 2013; March 2013 snow in the UK and the North Sea . Did human activities contributed? (ocl 10_2)

21 March 2013; Cold March 2013 in UK and North Europe science should be able to explain! (ocl_10-3)

7. March 2013:   Winter 2012/13 for Northern Europe is over! The Baltic and North Sea will prevent a surprise in March! (ocl 10-4)

19. Jan. 2013; Northern Europe  
bulwark against Asian cold
 from 19-31. January 2013 (co-12-8)

14. January 2013: North- and Baltic Sea influence Europe ’s winter 2012/2013 until now. --left-- (COL-12-6)

07. Jan. 2013: Record cold in Poland ! Minus 41°C on 11th Jan.1940 in Siedlce! (OCL-12-7)

23. Dec. 2012 + Update 17/01:  Had the Battle of Stalingrad been hampered by unusual low temperatures in December 1942? (OCL-12-8 

December 15, 2012
The impact of shipping on ocean and global warming (COL-12-9)

December 2012:
Roger Pielke Sr. and Climate Definition
- A field of jargon words and misuse of definitions –
(whatisclimate)

Dec. 09. 2012 (+ updates): 
Are we heading to severe   Baltic Sea ice conditions by 30th December 2012? (2007seatraining)