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 04 Jan
Mild winters

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 dr_arnd(x)yahoo.de
About the Author

El Niño 2015 cease – El Monster Stories not
Dr. Arnd Bernaerts

Since current El Niño strengths culminated in December 2015 (HERE-1), stories to make the most out of it do not. Back in last August  The Telegraph  wrote that the “so-called "Godzilla El Nino" could bring .a freezing winter in Britain… colder than average winters in northern Europe HERE-2  (telegraph.co.uk, 14 August 2015). It came the other way around. Already the December became the mildest on record (HERE-3), and January and February 2016 following closely. Despite this remarkable failure El Niño conditions are still ‘scandalized’.

 More about: „What initiates El Niños ?”

·        http://faculty.washington.edu/kessler/occasionally-asked-questions.html#ql

• http://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/04/03/how-much-of-global-temperature-increase-is-due-to-el-nino/

 Six months ago we raised the thematic about the impact of El Nino or Naval War on a winter in Europe (HERE-4). Our point was explained as follows:  

A current strong El Niño offers to provide more clarification of an open question since the winter 1939/40, 1940/41 and 1941/42, and test a claim Prof. Stephan Brönnimann and Colleagues  (NATURE-2004) that these winters had been caused by a prolonged El Nino. 75 years ago Europe suddenly faced the coldest winter since the end of the Little Ice Age. Over more than 100 years the winters had becoming warmer and warmer, but ended when World War II commenced. Three subsequent extreme winters took Europe into an icy grip that marked the change to a global cooling period for more than 30 years 
Worst, science is not even willing to investigate the event thoroughly.

After more than a dozen posts and analysis it is time to say that Stefan Brönnimann’s claim is unfounded, not more than mere guessing, and Prof. Brönnimann and Colleagues should admit it.

The current situation compared – as far as possible with the WWII conditions – are as follows:

Two strong El Niño - Two very different winter
	El Niño disapeared in less than 100 days

  BACK to TOP

Late April 2016 – Too cold North- and Baltic Sea. The mechanism works!

Cold again this weekend  // 18 04 2016   // MetOff

After a cool few days, temperatures will recover through the middle part of this week, before turning cooler again by the weekend.

The cool spell we saw during the weekend just gone, and the colder conditions expected at the end of this week, are linked to the Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) event that occurred early last month. We are seeing high pressure to the north and west of the UK, resulting in a chilly northerly air flow – a type of weather pattern often called ‘blocking’ by meteorologists.

Continue reading: https://blog.metoffice.gov.uk/2016/04/18/cold-again-this-weekend/

“Wintershock”  // 24. 04. 2016 // NoTrickZone, extract

The online SVZ daily here warns “Winterschock: In Germany the snow is back. Ice cold polar air delivers snowfall and storms.”

German weekly, Stern, writes at its online newsite: “Experts even advise putting the winter tires back on” and warns of icy streets in the lowlands by Monday morning! The Stern clip calls the snow for this time of year “unusual”.

- See more at: http://notrickszone.com/2015/09/21/joe-bastardi-sees-possible-nasty-winter-shaping-up-in-europe-as-north-atlantic-cold-expands/#sthash.KkwPBxx1.dpbs

 February 2016 is well on the way with above average temperatures

El Niño still runs strong in the Pacific showing worldwide some typical weather pattern. As far as Europe is mentioned the  forecast expects temperature above average in the first half period of winter, and lower towards winter’s end.

The current status of El Niño (Nov-Dec-2015)

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